24Sep

Singapore Stock Watch: STI resumes Monday evening at 3,230.26, up 0.4%

Singapore Stock Watch :SINGAPORE stocks continued exchanging 0.4 for each penny higher on Monday after the meal break, with the Straits Times Index rising 12.58 focuses to 3,230.26 as at 1.02pm.

Washouts dwarfed gainers 165 to 133, as 587 million offers worth S$410.8 million altogether changed hands.

The most effectively exchanged counter was Nico Steel with 41.27 million offers exchanged, level at 0.3 Singapore penny. Different actives included China Real Estate with 20 million units exchanged, level at 0.2 Singapore penny and Wheelock Properties with 13.35 million offers evolving hands, down 3.23 for every penny to S$2.10.

Dynamic list stocks included DBS, down 0.69 for each penny or 18 Singapore pennies to S$25.85, and OCBC Bank, up 1.51 for every penny or 17 Singapore pennies to S$11.46.

Singapore’s expansion unfaltering in August at 0.7%, in accordance with desires

SINGAPORE’S feature expansion held unfaltering in August with costs up 0.7 for every penny year on year, for the most part because of a more progressive decrease in settlement costs.

This was in accordance with financial analyst desires and only a tick quicker than the 0.6 for each penny for every penny in July, as indicated by the shopper value record (CPI) discharged by the Department of Statistics on Monday.

Center expansion, which strips out the expense of settlement and private street transport, ascended by 1.9 for each penny in August – unaltered from July as higher retail and sustenance swelling balance a control in administrations swelling.

These two back to back months denoted the quickest rate of increment since August 2014, when it climbed 2 for each penny.

Feature expansion ticked up for the most part because of convenience costs which fell by 2.6 for each penny in August, directing from the 3 for every penny decrease in July. This mirrored a slower pace of decrease in lodging rentals and a bigger increment in the expense of lodging support and repairs.

Private street transport costs plunged by 0.2 for every penny in August, indistinguishable pace of decrease from in the earlier month, as a littler fall in auto costs was counterbalanced by a less steep increment in petroleum costs.

The general expense of retail things went up by 2 for each penny in August, up from 1.6 for every penny ascend in July. This was because of a quicker pickup in the costs of apparel and footwear, and also an expansion in the costs of individual consideration items following the decay recorded in July.

Nourishment expansion edged up to 1.7 for every penny in August from 1.5 for each penny in the first month, on the back of a quicker pace of increment in the costs of non-cooked sustenance things and arranged suppers.

Administrations expansion facilitated to 1.3 for each penny in August from 1.5 for every penny the prior month, principally mirroring a decrease in media transmission administrations expenses which had more than balance a quicker pickup in airfares.

In the standpoint by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and the Ministry for Trade and Industry (MTI), imported expansion is probably going to rise gently.

Worldwide oil costs have mobilized since the beginning of 2018 and are relied upon to normal higher for the entire year when contrasted with 2017. Then, worldwide sustenance product costs are anticipated to rise somewhat as request reinforces in the midst of adequate supply conditions, said the MAS and the MTI.

Local wellsprings of swelling are relied upon to increment nearby a quicker pace of wage development and a pickup in residential interest. Be that as it may, the degree of buyer cost increments will stay direct, as retail leases have remained moderately curbed and firms’ valuing force might be compelled by showcase rivalry, said the MAS and the MTI.

Center expansion is relied upon to rise continuously through the span of 2018 to normal in the upper portion of the 1 to 2 for every penny gauge run for the entire year. Feature expansion is anticipated to be inside the upper portion of the zero to 1 for each penny estimate extend for the entire year.

Settlement costs are conjecture to fall by a littler degree than in 2017, while private street transport swelling should decrease in 2018 as the inflationary impacts from past authoritative measures scatter, said the MAS and the MTI.

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24Sep
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Epic Research| Forex Report

INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ

Forex – Dollar Higher as Sterling Slumps on Brexit Woes
Forex – Sterling Hits Intraday Lows as May Says UK-EU at Impasse
Forex – EUR/USD: Fed should help for another visit to 1.15 – Danske Bank

EUR/USD

Next week, the Federal Reserve will meet. According to analysts from Danske Bank, continued Fed hikes should help EUR/USD revisit the 1.15 area again during the course of the autumn. “With the Fed set to stay on autopilot for now, US rates are set to stay a source of USD support. This should help cement the status of the dollar as a carry currency both in terms of the level of and the change in short-end yields.” “With the Fed still keen to continue the process of moving rates back towards ‘neutral’, it remains too early in our view for the FX market to price the Fed going on hold. This should help EUR/USD revisit the 1.15 area again during the course of the autumn.” “As the ECB is set to signal a first hike coming up at a time where the Fed could be looking to go on hold, a EUR/USD uptick will start to materialize. Indeed, it is when easing stops – rather than when hikes occur – that currency appreciation is seen, and vice versa.”

GBP/USD

The dollar rose against its rivals on Friday, as investors reined in appetite for emerging market currencies, while the pound racked up losses as the UK and EU reached an “impasse,” on a post-Brexit deal. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.40% to 93.84. UK Prime Minister Theresa May criticized the EU for rejecting her post-Brexit plans, citing it “unacceptable,” particularly as the bloc failed to put forward alternative proposals. May further claimed that the UK and EU were at an “impasse,” denting optimism for a post-Brexit deal agreement following recent reports that the EU were set to adopt a warmer approach to Brexit talks. GBP/USD fell 1.41% to $1.3075, eroding most of the week’s gain as the pair looks set to end the week roughly flat. Turkey unveiled a new economic program earlier this week to reduce its current account deficit, while South Africa’s central bank stood pat on interest rates Thursday.

24 fx

21Sep

COMEX MARKET IN SINGAPORE| GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

  • Gold prices ticked higher on Thursday, as the dollar slumped, boosting the appeal of the yellow metal. Comex gold futures were up $2.50, or 0.2%, at $1,210.70 a troy ounce by 9:25AM ET (1325GMT). Meanwhile, spot gold was trading at $1,205.87 per ounce, up $1.80, or 0.2%, after rising 0.5% in the previous session. The dollar sank to a more than three-month low against its major rivals in part as safe-haven demand for the U.S. currency ebbed amid continued relief that fresh U.S. and Chinese tariffs on reciprocal imports were less harsh than originally feared.
  • Crude prices turned lower on Thursday, after U.S. President Donald Trump took another swipe at global oil producers. U.S. crude was down 0.1% at $70.69 a barrel at 8:25 AM ET (12:25 GMT), pulling back from a ten-week high of $71.34 touched earlier. Meanwhile, global benchmark Brent crude was down by 0.5% at $78.97. Trump tweeted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) needs to keep crude prices lower because of the military protection the U.S. provides for the region.
  • OPEC and its allies are unlikely to agree an official increase in crude output when they meet in Algeria this weekend, although pressure is mounting on top producers to prevent a spike in oil prices ahead of new U.S. sanctions on Iran, OPEC sources said. OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia is worried that any sanctions-related spike in oil prices will trigger fresh criticism from U.S. President Donald Trump but is concerned about a lack of spare oil capacity to offset shortages, the sources said.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

ECONOMY NEWS

  • The Argentine peso rose 4.43 percent on Thursday, and investors cited optimism that the recession-hit country will strike a new standby financing agreement with the International Monetary Fund aimed at guaranteeing government solvency. The local currency was at 37.7 to the dollar, having lost about half its value this year as investors grew worried about Argentina’s ability to meet its debt obligations next year.
  • International Monetary Fund staff and Argentine authorities in the past week have made “important progress” toward new financing arrangements and stronger economic policies that could be considered soon by the IMF’s board, a Fund spokesman said on Thursday. “What I can tell you is that important progress is being made toward strengthening Argentina’s economic policy plans supported by the IMF standby arrangement,” IMF spokesman Gerry Rice told a regular IMF news briefing. “We are working very hard to conclude these staff level talks in short order.”
  • Fink, speaking at Yahoo (NASDAQ:AABA) Finance’s second annual “All Markets Summit,” said the United States is currently the dominant force in the trade war because U.S. companies are benefiting from the strong dollar, driving U.S. stocks up, while equities have fallen elsewhere. In the long term, however, trade tensions will hurt the United States as they are leading more non-American companies to China, Fink said.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

20Sep

TODAY’S COMEX GOLD SIGNAL AND DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

  • Gold prices headed higher on Wednesday as the dollar held steady with news flow over trade at a standstill. At 10:37 AM ET (14:37 GMT), gold futures for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $4.60 or 0.38%, to $1,207.50 a troy ounce. China struck a conciliatory tone on Wednesday, as Premier Li Keqiang told a World Economic Forum conference that such disputes must be resolved through consultation, stating that it was “essential that we uphold the basic principles of multilateralism and free trade”.
  • West Texas Intermediate oil was steady in North American trade on Wednesday, as data showed that oil supplies in the U.S. fell less than expected. Crude oil for November delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 0.83% to trade at $70.17 a barrel by 10:33 AM ET (14:33 GMT), compared to $70.16 ahead of the report. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that crude oil inventories fell by 2.057 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 14.
  • Mars Wrigley Confectionery launched a new sustainability strategy on Wednesday with the aim of combating deforestation, child labor and poverty in what it called the “broken” cocoa supply chain. U.S.-based Mars, the maker of M&Ms and Snickers, said it had revamped its cocoa strategy in an effort to tackle problems that the company and wider industry had so far failed to address.

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

ECONOMY NEWS

  • German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said on Wednesday that euro zone governments should agree this year on next steps for completing their banking union in order to make the single currency bloc resilient for the next crisis. “It would be a big pity if we wouldn’t have established all the instruments necessary when it happens,” Scholz said during a panel discussion on the future of Europe in Berlin.
  • The European Commission proposed on Wednesday a foreign policy plan to improve transport, energy and digital infrastructure links with Asia but denied seeking to counter China’s ambitions that have raised suspicion in Western capitals. The plan, which would be backed by additional funds from the EU’s common budget from 2021, private sector loans and development banks, amounts to a strategic response to China’s largesse in much of central Asia and southeastern Europe, where Beijing has invested billions of dollars.
  • The euro zone needs a “sizeable” and well designed fiscal instrument to fight crises while avoiding moral hazard by member states, the president of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi said on Wednesday. “First, it should be sizeable, so that it can restore full fiscal stabilization capacity,” Draghi told an audience in Berlin. “And second, it should be properly designed so as to contain moral hazard.”

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

19Sep

COMEX MARKET IN SINGAPORE| GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

  • The initial market reaction to China’s official statement regarding the retaliatory tariffs to be imposed against the U.S. lifted the XAU/USD pair above the $1200 handle. As of writing, the pair was trading at $1202, adding 0.05% on the day. China said that import tariffs ranging from 5% to 10% on $60 billion worth of American goods will be imposed starting September 24.
  • Germany’s main carmakers’ association is optimistic about the outlook for global sales of trucks and vans, with a booming online retail sector in Europe boosting demand even as the motor industry faces growing trade barriers. The VDA association said sales of heavy-duty trucks in western European rose by 2 percent in January-July, and forecast a 2 percent increase in sales of light-duty trucks in that market for the whole of 2018, to almost 2 million vehicles.
  • Oil prices were higher on Tuesday, as Saudi Arabian officials said they are comfortable with rising Brent prices. West Texas Crude oil futures for November surged 1.35% to $69.61 a barrel as of 10:35 AM ET (14:35 GMT). Meanwhile Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., increased 1.46% to $79.19. Saudi Arabian officials said they are comfortable with Brent prices going above $80 a barrel as markets adjust to the loss of supply from U.S. sanctions.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

ECONOMY NEWS

  • China will levy tariffs on about $60 billion worth of U.S. goods in retaliation for the latest round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese products, as previously planned, but has reduced the level of tariffs that it will collect on the products. The tit-for-tat measures are the latest escalation in an increasingly protracted trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies.
  •  Investors cut equity exposure this month as they grew more wary that economic growth may slow, but kept a longstanding preference for mega-cap tech stocks, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Merrill Lynch’s monthly survey indicated on Tuesday. BAML’s September survey found investors’ outlook on economic growth had worsened significantly, driving them to increase cash holdings.
  • High-level Nafta negotiations are set to resume in Washington as the U.S. and Canada push to reach a deal before the next deadline. Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland will arrive in the U.S. capital Tuesday and talks with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer are due to resume Wednesday, according to four people familiar with the plans who spoke on condition of anonymity. The Canadian dollar climbed on the news, trading 0.4 percent higher at C$1.2990 per U.S. dollar at 9:39 a.m. Toronto time.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

18Sep

TODAY’S COMEX GOLD SIGNAL AND DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

  • Gold prices edged higher on Monday, reclaiming the key $1,200-level amid renewed fears over an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies. Comex gold futures were up $2.00, or 0.2%, at $1,203.10 a troy ounce by 9:00AM ET. Meanwhile, spot gold was trading at $1,200.08 per ounce, up $5.80, or 0.5%.
  • Crude prices edged higher on Monday, as looming U.S. sanctions on Iran are widely expected to lead to a tighter market. Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., rose 69 cents, or 0.9%, to $78.78 a barrel by 9:35AM ET. New York-traded WTI crude futures added 48 cents, or 0.7%, to $69.27 a barrel. The sanctions, which from November will include Tehran’s oil exports, are being reinstated after U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal earlier this year.
  • Coffee producers are seeking urgent meetings with major customers such as Nestle, Jacobs Douwe Egberts and Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) to find ways to shore up prices that have slid to 12-year lows. The World Coffee Producers’ Forum, whose members account for about 85 percent of global production, held a press conference on Monday after meeting to discuss the price crisis.

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

ECONOMY NEWS

  • Turkish companies will no longer be required to count foreign-currency losses when assessing whether to file for bankruptcy, according to a legal change introduced at the weekend, a move that could dent productivity by propping up unhealthy companies. The move is the latest government measure to help companies squeezed by a sell-off in the Turkish lira this year, and highlights the difficulty firms, and banks, face in what analysts say is likely to be a wave of debt restructuring.
  • The International Monetary Fund has held productive meetings with Argentina aimed at revamping the country’s standby loan agreement, the IMF said on Monday, while the government prepares to send its 2019 budget bill to Congress. The measure is expected to include new spending cuts aimed at erasing Argentina’s primary fiscal deficit next year. In June the government signed a $50 billion standby deal that included a fiscal shortfall of 1.3 percent of gross domestic product.
  • The U.S. Federal Reserve said on Monday that Richard Clarida has been sworn in as a member of its board of governors and as vice chairman, the second most powerful position at the central bank. The oath of office was administered by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Monday, the Fed said in a statement. Clarida had been confirmed by the Senate late last month.

COMEX GOLD SIGNAL

 

18Sep

Singapore Stock Watch: STI down 0.63%

Singapore Stock Watch:
The Straits Times Index (STI) finished 20.02 or 0.63% lower at 3,141.40.

The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index slipped – 2.84%, while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index plunged 0.67%.

The best dynamic stocks were DBS, which plunged 0.30%, Singtel, which shut unaltered, Genting Sing, which slipped 0.10%, and UOB, which fell 0.28%.

OCBC Investment Research noticed that US stocks shut lower, with the S&P 500 and the Dow snapping multiday win streaks, as President Donald Trump arranged to declare extra levies on Chinese imports while China implied at another round of striking back.

Seven out of eleven areas in the S&P 500 files shut higher, driven by Real Estate (0.49%) and Consumer Staples (0.35%) while Information Technology (- 1.40%) and Consumer Discretionary (- 1.27%) drove the misfortunes.

“The misfortunes on Wall Street medium-term will serve little motivation for the neighborhood markets and henceforth we expect a quieted execution,” OCBC Investment Research said.

Sembcorp secures 20-year sun based power bargain for Facebook’s Singapore activities

They will introduce near 900 sun based boards in Singapore housetops from 2018 to 2020.

Sembcorp Industries (Sembcorp) anchored a 20-year contract to give privately sourced sun oriented vitality to help Facebook’s 170,000 sq m Singapore server farm and its different tasks inside the Lion City, a declaration uncovered.

Through the arrangement, Sembcorp will serve Facebook’s sustainable power source needs by giving offsite sun powered boards totalling 50 MWp in limit that will be introduced on near 900 housetops in Singapore, between the finish of 2018 and 2020.

“As our reality moves towards renewables and bring down carbon vitality, there is an expanding interest for arrangements that empower organizations to accomplish development while dealing with their effect on the earth,” Sembcorp gather president and CEO Neil McGregor said.

The agreement includes the offer of 100% of the sustainable power source characteristics from the surplus power produced by the association’s 50 MWp of sun based boards.

“This assention speaks to our initial move towards supporting our Singapore Data Center and nearby workplaces with 100% sustainable power source,” Facebook head of worldwide vitality Bobby Hollis said. “We are excited to have Sembcorp as our accomplice on this task and eager to see the proceeded with speeding up in the development of the sustainable power source advertise in Singapore.”

17Sep

Singapore Stock Watch : STI resumes Monday evening at 3,139.26, down 0.7% on day

Singapore Stock Watch :

SINGAPORE stocks kept on withdrawing as exchanging continued on Monday evening, with the Straits Times Index falling 0.70 for every penny or 22.16 focuses to 3,139.26 as at 1.02pm in the midst of continuous worries about an exchange war.

Failures dwarfed gainers 196 to 118, or around five securities down for each three up, after 1.1 billion securities worth S$352.4 million changed hands.

Among the most intensely exchanged by volume, Rex International Holding increased 6.1 for every penny or S$0.006 to S$0.105 with 61.5 million offers exchanged. Thai Beverage Public Co climbed 1.6 for every penny or S$0.01 to S$0.645 with 10.2 million offers exchanged.

Dynamic list stocks included DBS Group Holdings, down 0.2 for every penny or S$0.05 to S$24.80; and OCBC Bank, down 1.2 for each penny or S$0.13 to S$11.04.

Singapore dispatches bound together installment QR code, said to be world’s first

Singapore uncovered the first-of-its-kind brought together installment QR code on Monday, in a declaration by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and the Infocomm Media Development Authority (IMDA).

Known as the Singapore Quick Response Code (SGQR), it consolidates numerous installment QR codes into a solitary mark and expects to make QR code-based versatile installments less complex for the two customers and dealers. SGQR will be received by 27 installment plans including PayNow, Nets, GrabPay, Liquid Pay and Singtel Dash, and will be conveyed continuously throughout the following a half year.

This was formally propelled by Ong Ye Kung, Minister for Education and MAS board part.

To pay by SGQR, purchasers need to pick their favored installment plot from the acknowledged alternatives, and login to the important installment application. Following which they have to check the SGQR code and after that compensation the sum required.

With the solidification of QR codes, dealers need to show only a solitary SGQR mark demonstrating the e-installments they acknowledge. “This implies less mess on the customer facing facade and speedier installments preparing,” said the MAS and the IMDA.

The expansion of new QR installments alternatives, both local and universal, are likewise streamlined into the single SGQR name. SGQR does not require a terminal, subsequently a less expensive approach to acknowledge different e-installment choices.

Vendors that offer QR code installments will have their current QR codes supplanted with a solitary SGQR name throughout the following a half year. The primary period of SGQR name substitution, beginning with shippers in the focal business area, will begin in late September 2018.

Amid the substitution period of existing QRs, there will be a transitional period where a few dealers may even now show different QR codes, while others show a solitary SGQR name. Purchasers can keep on making QR code installments utilizing the current QRs by means of their typical installment application, said the two organizations.

SGQR was produced by an industry team co-driven by the MAS and the IMDA.

17Sep

COMEX MARKET IN SINGAPORE| GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

  • Gold prices were lower on Friday after the greenback rallied from an earlier loss. Comex gold futures for December delivery decreased 0.51% to $1,202.00 a troy ounce as of 11:21 AM ET (15:21 GMT). Disappointing data on Thursday and Friday increased concern that the Federal Reserve could ease its stance on monetary policy. U.S. retail sales barely registered any gains in August, while consumer prices rose less than expected.
  • Fewer ships from China and the United States could use the Panama Canal if trade tensions escalate between the two economic giants, but the dip could be offset by grain exports from north Brazil, the head of the organization that operates the waterway said. The canal, which cuts through Panama creating an essential shipping route between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, is a major source of revenue for the central American country.
  • California Governor Jerry Brown on Friday pledged to launch a satellite that will track and detect the sources of climate pollutants, his state’s latest effort to challenge the Trump administration’s skepticism about the science of climate change. Brown, who was nicknamed “Governor Moonbeam” during his first stint as governor in the 1970’s in part because of a proposal he made at the time to launch an emergency communications satellite for the state, said California was teaming up with earth imaging company Planet Labs to develop the technology.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

ECONOMY NEWS

  • Greece plans to further loosen capital controls soon and is on track to lift all restrictions imposed three years ago, its finance minister said on Saturday. “We will have new easing (of capital controls) very soon,” Euclid Tsakalotos was quoted as saying in an interview with Naftemporiki newspaper, without specifying when.
  • Trade and investment ministers from G20 countries meeting in Argentina said there was an “urgent need” to improve the World Trade Organization, a joint statement issued from the summit said on Friday. With U.S. President Donald Trump readying tariffs on another $200 billion in Chinese goods, the ministers said they were “stepping up the dialogue” on international trade disputes, according to the statement. It did not provide any details of possible WTO reforms or how dialogue on trade was being increased.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump has directed aides to proceed with tariffs on about another $200 billion of Chinese goods, despite Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin’s attempts to restart trade talks with China, a source familiar with the matter said on Friday. The timing for activating the additional tariffs was unclear. The green light for the tariffs, first reported by Bloomberg, initially dragged U.S. stocks lower, fueled drops in the Chinese yuan in offshore trading and gains in the dollar index.

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

14Sep
trading-forex-with-europefx

Epic Research| Forex Report

INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ

Forex – U.S. Dollar Slumps on Inflation Data
Forex – GBP/USD surges to 1.3100 handle on weaker US CPI figures
Forex – EUR/USD closer to 1.1700 on Draghi, softer US CPI

EUR/USD

Spot navigates fresh tops for the current month boosted by a sharp pick up in the selling pressure around the greenback post-CPI results. The disappointing results from US inflation figures forced yields of the US 10-tear benchmark to tumble to fresh lows in the 2.95% neighbourhood. The shared currency also derive some buying interest after President Draghi disappointed EUR-bears today at the ECB meeting, where the central bank left unchanged its monetary conditions. At his press conference, Draghi noted that uncertainty surrounding underlying inflation appears mitigated, while he stressed that updated forecasts on inflation and economic growth confirm the central bank’s assessment. The ECB now sees inflation running at an annualized 1.7% for the current month, 2019 and 2010, unchanged from the previous report. However, theECB revised lower its forecasts for GDP for 2018 and 2019 and now expects the economy to expand 2.0% and 1.8%, respectively.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair quickly reversed the post-BoE dip to 1.3035 area and rallied over 60-pips, to the 1.3100 neighborhood on softer US CPI figures. The US Dollar weakened across the board after the latest US consumer inflation report, released this Thursday, showed that the headline CPI increased 0.2% in August and the yearly rate dropped to 2.7% from 2.9% previous. Meanwhile, the core CPI also showed a modest 0.1% m/m rise and indicated that the recent upturn in inflation might have already started easing, dampening prospects for aggressive Fed monetary policy tightening cycle. The same was evident from a sudden plunge in the US Treasury bond yields, which exerted some additional downward pressure on the greenback and lifted the pair to an intraday high level of 1.3097, the highest since August 2. Against the backdrop the latest Brexit optimism, the prevalent USD selling bias now seems to have opened room for an extension of the pair’s ongoing positive momentum, possibly towards testing 100-day SMA hurdle near the 1.3200 handle.

 

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