Daily Archives: April 3, 2019


Singapore Stocks Watch: SPH raised to ‘buy’ by UOB on undervalued guarded quarters business

Singapore Stocks Watch:
UOB KayHian is updating Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) to “purchase” with a 2.5% higher target cost to $2.82, to represent the 6% rally of SPH REIT.

UOB says the versatile resources in SPH’s portfolio and endeavors by the new administration to grow its guarded business have been undervalued.

Capital effectiveness is improving given the transfer of low-yielding resources for higher-yielding ones.

Also, SPH’s 2019F yield of 4.5% is higher versus the STI’s 4.1% after the ongoing selldown.

Last Sept, SPH gained its first understudy settlement arrangement of 14 resources in the United Kingdom, denoting its first raid into a versatile and cautious business which is counter-recurrent in nature.

This is becuse understudy enrolment normally increments in case of a monetary stoppage and a more fragile work advertise as individuals hope to overhaul their abilities or remain in advanced education for more.

What’s more, regardless of the vulnerability over Brexit talks, UK colleges experienced record quantities of global understudy applications for full-time college classes in the scholarly year of 2019.

This is bolstered by universal understudy candidates from China which saw a 33% expansion y-o-y, with EU understudy applications developing by 1% y-o-y.

While Brexit worries for EU understudies subsidizing and examine activities still wait, the area appears to be flexible with a proceeded with solid interest.

“This looks good for SPH’s property broadening methodology following the Mayflower procurement in Sep 18,” ,” says lead examiner Lucas Teng in a Wednesday report.

In the interim, commitment of working benefits from the media business portion has been on a decay, from 55% in FY15 to 32% in FY18. Acquisitions in the understudy quarters space can help pad the fall of the conventional print business.

Since the new CEO and CFO dominated, Teng says he is beginning to see improvement in SPH’s capital effectiveness from a few capital reusing exercise.

These incorporated the transfer of its treasury and speculation arrangement of $189 million that produced just around 4% yield in FY18, and securing of settlement resources for $321 million that creates an alluring 6.3% net yield, which is additionally intensified by the low financing cost in UK.

As at 1.05pm, shares in SPH are as of now exchanging at $2.43 or 19.6 occasions FY20F income.

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UOB, OCBC to profit by home loan rate climbs this year, says DBS

DBS Vickers Securities is staying bullish on Singapore’s banks as a profit yield play, while featuring rising home loan rates as the division’s splendid spot in the midst of greater expense of assets this year.

In a Tuesday report, investigator Lim Rui Wen says UOB will profiting by climbs in home loan rates in 1Q19, as it was the first to build it Singdollar fixed store rates amid February this year.

As indicated by UOB, its home loans dependent on repaired store rates may develop to 70 premise focuses.

This is contrasted with OCBC Bank, which reported normal climbs of 55 premise focuses back in December 2018, viable from Jan 2019. DBS, then again reported an expansion of up to 40 premise focuses with impact from April.

Lim has “purchase” approaches both OCBC and UOB with the individual value focuses of $12.90 and $29.20.

In her view, the two banks are exchanging at undemanding valuations of a little more than multiple times FY19F book esteem, and are very much upheld by generally liberal profit yields of over 4%.

While Singapore interbank offered rates (Sibor) are going up too, the investigator noticed that there is commonly a slack among repricing and Sibor – implying that the banks can appreciate a time of more extensive edges.

She gauges that between 40 to 45% of the banks’ Singdollar credits are based off Sibor and the swap offer rate.

Going ahead, DBS anticipates that Singapore’s GDP should develop at between 2.8-3% this year and the by help mid-single digit development in banks’ profit.

This will be additionally floated by proceeded with NIM extension through FY19F on further advances repricing, says Lim, despite the fact that she stays cognisant that advance development is relied upon to direct to c.4-6%, depending on non-exchange corporate credits and local advance interest.

“Singapore banks stay as nice profit yield play in the midst of solid capital dimensions, amiable resource quality with mid-single digit income development and will probably exchange go bound up till ex-div dates. Meanwhile, we keep on keeping watch on improvements in oil and gas arrangements,” says Lim.

Offers in OCBC shut 14 pennies and 32 pennies higher, separately at $11.35 and $25.74 on Tuesday.

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  • Oil prices rose for a fourth day on Wednesday, holding firm despite an industry report showing that U.S. inventories rose unexpectedly last week, with supply cuts and sanctions supporting the market. Brent futures rose 22 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $69.59 a barrel by 0028 GMT, after earlier reaching $69.68, the highest since Nov. 13. The global benchmark closed half a percent higher on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $62.64 cents a barrel.
  • Crude advanced to the highest this year after a further reduction in supply from OPEC signaled that global markets are tightening. Futures added 1.6 percent to the highest level since November in New York on Tuesday. Declines in OPEC production are stoking optimism among investors as Saudi Arabia pressed on with output curbs and as power blackouts in Venezuela further squeezed supplies.
  • The good news for gold bugs is there’s always some news on economic uncertainty out there to keep the yellow metal from collapsing. The bad news is there hasn’t been enough news of economic uncertainty lately to push prices back above the key $1,300 level. Bullion and futures of gold rose on Tuesday as latest U.S. data renewed worries about growth in the world’s largest economy. Spot gold, reflective of trades in bullion, was at $1,291.62 an ounce by 2:42 PM ET (18:42 GMT), up $3.90, or 0.3%.




  • Growth in developing Asia could slow for a second straight year in 2019 and lose further momentum in 2020, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said on Wednesday, warning of rising economic risks from a bitter Sino-U.S.trade war and a potentially disorderly Brexit. Developing Asia, which groups 45 countries in the Asia-Pacific region, is expected to grow 5.7 this year, the ADB said in its Asian Development Outlook report, slowing from a projected 5.9 percent expansion in 2018 and 6.2 percent growth in 2017.
  • South Korea’s finance minister said on Wednesday the ministry will submit a supplementary budget of smaller than 9 trillion won ($7.9 billion) in size to the parliament by the end of April. “The size of the extra budget hasn’t been confirmed yet, but I think it would be smaller than the size that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) suggested,” Hong Nam-ki told reporters after a policy meeting in Seoul.
  • The U.S. Federal Reserve’s dovish turn has probably delayed the arrival of a key bond market recession indicator to 2020, a bit later than predicted three months ago, according to the latest Reuters poll of bond strategists. Only about one-fifth of those answering an additional question expected the gap between U.S. 2-year and 10-year note yields to invert within the next six months, compared to over one-third in the previous poll.


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