Daily Archives: February 18, 2019


Singapore Stocks Watch: STI resumes Monday evening at 3,263.71, up 0.7% on day

Singapore Stocks Watch: SINGAPORE shares continued exchanging on Monday evening on higher ground, with the Straits Times Index up 23.97 focuses or 0.7 percent to 3,263.71 as at 1.04pm.

About 830.0 million securities worth S$476.1 million altogether changed hands. Gainers dwarfed washouts 188 to 135.

The most effectively exchanged stock – Renaissance United – was exchanging at 0.2 Singapore penny with 35.0 million offers evolving hands.

Among dynamic record stocks, ThaiBev shares were exchanging down 0.5 Singapore penny or 0.6 percent at S$0.81, while shares in DBS Group Holdings, which discharged its entire year 2018 profit on Monday morning were exchanging up S$0.41 or 1.7 percent at S$25.20.

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Investigators positive on ThaiBev following multiplying of 1Q income

Analysts are commonly positive on Thai Beverage (ThaiBev), following the gathering’s 1Q19 outcomes declaration, which recorded income of 7.42 billion baht ($320.8 million), dramatically increasing from 2.96 billion baht a year ago.

All out income likewise observed a 59.7% y-o-y bounce to 72.63 billion baht, with income from spirits becoming 28.6% to 31.68 billion shower and brew income flooding 128.6% to 22.00 billion baht.

Offer of benefit of interest in partners and joint endeavors likewise multiplied to 1.72 billion baht from a year prior.

Following the outcomes declaration, RHB Research is repeating its “purchase” approach ThaiBev with a higher target cost of 92 pennies, from 85 pennies already.

The gathering’s spirits fragment demonstrated a 24% y-o-y flood in volumes, driven by higher utilization in rustic regions and low base impacts as exchange specialists were destocking. Lager volume in Thailand additionally expanded by 7.8%.

In any case, Sabeco acquired misfortunes because of kitchen sinking amid the quarter.

In a Monday report, expert Juliana Cai says, “We trust share cost would keep on inclining up as liquor utilization keeps on developing on the back of higher ranch salary, general races crusades and a low base impact in 2018. Throughout the following seventy five percent, we expect spirits volume development to standardize to high-single digit, while lager volume to develop at mid-single digit.”

The executives additionally featured that the main part of Sabeco’s kitchen sinking has been finished, which ought to propose a superior q-o-q result for Sabeco.

CGS-CIMB Research additionally kept its “include” approach ThaiBev with an expanded target cost of 90 pennies from 83 pennies beforehand.

ThaiBev’s administration trusts that FY19 will be certain for local liquor utilization as government improvement battles should support the recuperation of private utilization, in any event, until the general races. The Coronation of the King and Songkran celebrations are likewise expected to be blissful minutes.

For Sabeco, enhancement of piece of the pie, generation, bundling and transportation frameworks are as yet not finished, bearing in mind the end goal of results by end-FY19. The alignment of joint obtainment forms with ThaiBev and their fermenting limits are additionally continuous.

In a Friday report, investigator Cezzane See says, “We are gladdened by the enhanced residential utilization condition; henceforth we lift our FY19-21F net benefit on higher local soul and brew volumes and higher partner desires.”

So also, OCBC Investment Research is looking after its “purchase” proposal on ThaiBev with an expanded target cost of 91 pennies from 85 pennies.

Absolute deals volume of spirits including Grand Royal Group’s deals was up 25.7% to 181.9 million liters. Barring Grand Royal Group, deals volume was up 24.3% to 158.1 million liters.

This hearty execution was to a great extent because of expanding buyer buying power and the examination against a low base in 1Q18, amid which deals operators diminished buy arranges on the back of an extract charge climb.

Regardless of a 117.3% y-o-y increment in lager EBITDA, PATMI from the brew portion was down 48.6% because of higher money costs. Brew section income was up 128.6% y-o-y, driven by 253.9% expansion in deals volumes, including Sabeco (which was excluded in 1Q18). Barring Sabeco’s deal, the gathering would have recorded a 7.8% y-o-y increment in lager deals volume, because of enhanced customer buying power.

In a Monday report, investigator Deborah Ong says, “We keep on anticipating positive cooperative energies from the Sabeco procurement, however note that this will expect time to hold up under organic product.”

“Looking forward, we trust the up and coming Thai decision will be a positive for purchaser craving and see indications of obtaining power fortifying. All things considered, the thick brown haze right now burdening Thailand concerns us as it might hose the bubbly soul and we keep on observing the circumstance,” includes Ong.

Then again, UOB Kay Hian has minimized its approach ThaiBev to “hold” from “purchase” beforehand with a higher target cost of 86 pennies from 80 pennies already, just as a passage cost of 76 pennies.

In a Monday report, examiner Lucas Teng says, “We esteem: the spirits business at 16x EV/EBITDA, in accordance with worldwide friends’; the brew business at an updated 15x EV/EBITDA, in accordance with ASEAN companions’ normal of 15.4x; the non-mixed refreshment (NAB) business at 2x EV/deals, a markdown to friends’ 3.0x as ThaiBev’s NAB business is still misfortune making; and the sustenance business at 15x EV/EBITDA, in accordance with neighborhood peers’. FPL and FNN, which ThaiBev possesses 28% each, are esteemed dependent on market esteem.”

The examiner trusts that the stock has down well as of late with a 29% return since its last outcomes, to a great extent figuring in desires for household utilization recuperation, which has been acknowledged in 1Q19.

“We stay positive over the gathering’s potential for development, particularly in the brew fragment, and note its more extended term prospects. We advocate longer-term speculators to consider collecting at more like 76 pennies,” says Teng.

As at 1.15pm, shares in ThaiBev are exchanging at 81 pennies.

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  • Gold is at an inflection point as traders muse over what’s more important to the market — a U.S.-China trade deal that could knock bullion off its $1,300 perch or a spike in Brexit/Venezulea worries that may result in new 2019 highs. The spot price of bullion and futures of gold hit two-week highs on Friday as a string of weak economic data from earlier in the week and subdued inflation supported the Federal Reserve’s stance of being “patient” with future rate hikes.
  • Venezuela’s opposition has no plans to use funds belonging to U.S. refiner Citgo, which is owned by state oil company PDVSA, despite having named a new board for the company this week, the self-declared interim government’s U.S. envoy said on Friday. The opposition will not make changes to the refining company’s management or operations until Juan Guaido, the leader of Venezuela’s opposition-controlled Congress who swore himself in as president last month, has control of state functions, said Carlos Vecchio, Guaido’s representative in Washington.
  • The good news is flowing in from all corners for oil bulls. Trade talks in Beijing, outage at the biggest Saudi oilfield and commodities merchant Trafigura’s apparent decision to halt trading in Venezuelan crude are all combining to create the largest weekly gain for oil this year.



  • A confidential Commerce Department report due to be sent to Donald Trump on Sunday is widely expected to clear the way for the U.S. president to threaten tariffs on imported autos and auto parts by designating the imports a national security threat, auto industry officials said on Friday. The report’s recommendations may bring the global auto industry a step closer to its worst trade nightmare – U.S. tariffs on millions of imported cars and parts of up to 25 percent that many in the industry fear would add thousands of dollars to the cost of vehicles and potentially cost hundreds of thousands of jobs throughout the U.S. economy.
  • Democratic lawmakers, states and others mulling legal challenges to President Donald Trump’s national emergency declaration to obtain funds to build a U.S.-Mexico border wall face an uphill and probably losing battle in a showdown likely to be decided by the conservative-majority Supreme Court, legal experts said.
  • U.S. comparisons with previous quarters are of course skewed by President Donald Trump’s generous tax breaks, which handed companies a big windfall in early 2018 but have now expired. The swift pace and depth of cuts to estimates are raising concerns this may be the start of a trend, as companies struggle with margin squeezes and debt. After all, as recently as December, Q1 earnings were seen expanding by 5.3 percent.


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