GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY
INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS
- It had to be one safe-haven or the other and the dollar triumphed at the expense of gold on Friday as signs of slowing growth in China sparked risk aversion across the globe. A contrarian trade to bullion, the dollar hit 19-month highs after Beijing’s weakest retail sales performance in 15 years and smallest industrial output in almost three years cast doubts about demand in the No. 2 economy.
- U.S. energy firms cut oil rigs for a second week in a row this week, prolonging a move by drillers over the past month to reduce the number of active rigs after crude prices collapsed in October and November. Drillers cut four oil rigs in the week to Dec. 14, bringing the total count down to 873, the lowest since mid October, General Electric Co’s (N:GE) Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its closely followed report on Friday.
- Brazil is prepared in the event China removes tariffs on U.S. soy, which had driven down prices for the oil seed in Chicago and driven up the premiums over U.S. prices paid for Brazilian beans, outgoing Agriculture Minister Blairo Maggi said on Friday. Maggi, who will step down when President-elect Jair Bolsonaro takes office Jan. 1, said removing the tariffs would lead prices in Chicago and Brazil to converge and bring greater predictability to the soy market that would benefit Brazilian farmers.
- The United States won a legal battle over “dolphin safe” tuna-labeling on Friday, when the World Trade Organization’s appeals judges dismissed Mexico’s argument that the U.S. labeling rules violated WTO rules. More than 10 years after the dispute first came to the WTO in October 2008, the WTO ruling ended Mexico’s claim that U.S. labeling rules unfairly penalized its fishing industry.
- The U.S. Trade Representative’s office on Friday officially changed the scheduled date of a tariff rate increase on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to 12:01 a.m. EST (0501 GMT) on March 2, 2019 as the United States and China pursue talks on trade and intellectual property. The change was made in a Federal Register filing from a previously scheduled effective date of Jan. 1, 2019 for the increase to 25 percent from 10 percent.
- As U.S. stocks have been rocked by trade tensions and monetary policy worries, shares of small-cap companies, by one measure, have now confirmed that they are in their first bear market in three years. On Friday, the small-cap S&P 600 Index (SPCY) fell 1.6 percent to mark a 20.05 percent decline from its Aug. 31 closing high. A drop of 20 percent or more from a record or long-standing high closing level is the typical definition of a bear market.
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