INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ
Forex – U.S. Dollar Flat, Euro Rises Amid Geopolitical Concerns
Forex – Euro rises as Italian debt concerns ease; sterling builds on gains
Forex – GBP/USD could rebound further and test 1.3170 – UOB
The U.S. dollar was flat against other currencies on Tuesday, as investors worried about Chinese-U.S. trade relations. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.03% to 95.09 as of 5:19 AM ET (9:19 GMT). Trade war tensions continued to worry investors. Robert E. Lighthizer, the United States trade representative met with European Union officials in Brussels on Monday to discuss trade tariffs. While Lighthizer called the talks “constructive,” a deal is not likely to be reached as soon as the White House administration would like. Meanwhile U.S. President Donald Trump wants to impose tariffs on almost all imported Chinese goods .China’s foreign ministry said on Monday that it would respond to any new steps on trade. The dollar rose against the safe-haven yen, with USD/JPY increasing 0.22% to 111.36. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to invest in the Japanese yen, which is considered a safe asset during periods of risk aversion.
“GBP rocketed upon Barnier’s comment and took out last Friday’s peak of 1.3029 (overnight high of 1.3052). The rally appears to be running ahead of itself but there appears to be enough momentum for GBP to test the strong 1.3070 resistance first before it should settle down (next resistance at 1.3105 is likely out of reach). On the downside, only a break of 1.2965 would indicate that a short-term top is in place (minor support is at 1.2990)”. “GBP continues to trade in a volatile manner as it dropped to a low of 1.2898 yesterday before rocketing to hit an overnight high of 1.3052 (after Barnier’s comments). The overnight high was just above the top of our expected 1.2800/1.3050 consolidation range and the subsequent strong daily closing in NY suggests there is room for further GBP gains. That said, it is too soon to expect a shift to a bullish phase even though GBP could test 1.3170 from here. For now, we view any strength as a corrective rebound and not the start of a sustained up-move.