INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ
Forex -EUR/USD ends week higher, still unable to move away from 1.2300
Forex- GBP/USD tests 2018-high ahead of UK data-intensive calendar this week
Forex- EUR/GBP: Brexit trade talks to undermine the pound–Rabo bank
The EUR/USD pair remained above 1.2300 on Friday and rose marginally. It found resistance at 1.2350 it was about to end the week with a gain of around 50 pips. The pair peaked on Wednesday at 1.2395 and then bounced to the downside following the release of the FOMC minutes. It continued to correct lower on Thursday weakened by the ECB minutes. The decline was capped by 1.2300 and then, euro rebounded modestly, rising to 1.2350. While the tone of the Fedwas seen as “hawkish”, the ECB offered no signals of potential talks about the exit strategy. On a wider perspective, EUR/USD continues to move around the 1.2300 area. Since February it is moving sideways without a clear direction. Last week it found support on an uptrend line from November lows. That line stands at 1.2250/60 at the moment, and a break lower could be seen as a bearish signal from a technical perspective.
The GBP/USD is trading at around 1.4253 up 0.17% on Friday. It is trading close to key resistance levels with the 200- period simple moving average on the weekly chart at 1.4245 and the 2018 high at 1.4346. Earlier on Friday, the pound tested levels not seen since January 25 (2018 high). In the absence of significant data from the UK, the pair is mainly driven by the general market sentiment, the speeches from Fed’s member in the US and the technical outlook. It will be a data- intensive calendar for the cable next week with the UK inflation, labor market and retail sales data. The data will be closely looked by investors as the Bank of England will be watching for clues to hike sooner rather than later. On the other side of the Atlantic, next week will see the US retail sales report for March, housing starts for March, building permits and a plethora of Fed’s members’ speeches.