INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ :
- Copper prices fell by 0.13 per cent on Wednesday after the US retail sales fell less than expected in February but a sharp downward revision to January’s data could reignite concerns about the economy’s growth prospects which reduced the demand outlook for the metal. Retail sales dipped 0.1 percent last month as automobile purchases fell and cheaper gasoline undercut receipts at service stations.
- Oil rose above $41 a barrel on Thursday, trading close to a 2016 high, bolstered by a plan among some of the world’s biggest producers to meet next month to discuss supporting the market.OPEC and non-OPEC producers including the top two exporters, Saudi Arabia and Russia, will meet on April 17 in Qatar over a plan to freeze output, increasing the likelihood of the first global supply deal in 15 years.
- Gold futures held on to strong overnight gains in European trade on Thursday, after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and indicated just two more rate hikes this year instead of the four expected. Gold for April delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange jumped $37.00, or
3.01%, to trade at $1,266.80 a troy ounce by 08:05GMT, or 4:05AM ET.
ECONOMY NEWS :
- Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Thursday that inflation had slowed temporarily due to declines in oil prices but that the overall price trend was improving excluding oil.Kuroda, speaking in the upper house budget committee, also said the BOJ was still only about halfway towards meeting its 2 percent price target.
- Federal Reserve policymakers urging caution over interest rate hikes have gained the upper hand in the central bank’s internal debate, but the risk for the U.S. economy is that they are wrong to downplay a recent rise in inflation. In words that echo those of colleagues on the Fed’s dovish wing, Fed Chair Janet Yellen told a news conference on Wednesday that “caution is appropriate” when it comes to raising interest rates. She said she was not convinced underlying inflation had accelerated.
- Declines in China’s foreign trade will ease after March, though trade conditions are expected to be more severe this year than in 2015, a spokesman at the Commerce Ministry said on Wednesday, “There is increasing growth momentum in foreign trade,” Shen Danyang told reporters in Beijing. “We expect declines in trade will gradually ease after March.”
TRADING STRATEGY :
- BUY GOLD ABOVE 1270 TARGET 1275 1281 SL 1264
- SELL GOLD BELOW 1263 TARGET 1258 1252 SL 1269